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Red103
747628.0
403950.3
124151.0
Blue84
270225.0
775722.0
260925.0
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161745010015020025010384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+35Teleop
+23Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
6Leave6
9Coral scored#2
45Coral points10
51Total auto16
Teleoperatedlevel
8Coral scored#9
28Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
42Total teleop42
Reef
8L4#2
4L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
8Foul points12
103Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.04.0
54.450.3
Auto14.2
Teleop36.4
End0.4
red by 26.0
2702
#27
25.01.0
26.125.1
Auto4.7
Teleop19.8
End0.5
Second
50.34.5
54.149.7
Auto15.9
Teleop30.6
End3.9
red by 25.3
2609
#19
25.01.0
25.724.6
Auto5.8
Teleop11.8
End7.4
Third
28.04.5
31.927.4
Auto5.1
Teleop20.9
End2.0
red by 5.9
7757
#26
22.01.0
22.221.1
Auto4.6
Teleop15.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned