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Red166
111465.4
775722.0
220063.1
Blue72
568927.7
270225.0
502429.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176935015020025016672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+94Teleop
+94Endgame
+94Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points10
33Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +80
28Coral scored#9
101Coral points31
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
129Total teleop49
Reef
12L4#3
11L3#4
5L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
39Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +94
0Foul points0
166Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.40.3
64.564.8
Auto19.2
Teleop44.2
End2.0
red by 35.7
5024
#14
29.70.3
29.729.4
Auto10.3
Teleop17.4
End2.0
Second
63.10.3
62.262.6
Auto15.3
Teleop45.2
End2.6
red by 35.4
5689
#12
27.70.3
27.727.5
Auto5.2
Teleop19.8
End2.7
Third
7757
#26
22.00.3
21.121.5
Auto4.6
Teleop15.4
End2.0
blue by 3.0
2702
#27
25.00.3
25.124.8
Auto4.7
Teleop19.8
End0.5