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Red142
124151.0
403950.3
285224.3
Blue56
808919.1
571922.3
697829.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142765010020014256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+49Auto
+90Teleop
+80Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +49
6Leave9
10Coral scored#0
52Coral points0
58Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +41
14Coral scored#6
50Coral points23
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
74Total teleop33
Reef
9L4#2
7L3#2
5L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +86
6Foul points0
142Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.00.3
50.350.6
Auto14.2
Teleop36.4
End0.4
red by 21.3
6978
#11
29.80.4
30.229.8
Auto3.3
Teleop24.7
End1.7
Second
50.30.3
49.750.0
Auto15.9
Teleop30.6
End3.9
red by 28.0
5719
#16
22.30.4
22.822.4
Auto6.3
Teleop14.7
End1.4
Third
2852
#24
24.30.3
23.623.9
Auto5.0
Teleop17.9
End1.4
red by 5.3
8089
#10
19.10.4
19.519.1
Auto5.9
Teleop8.9
End4.2