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Red80
164615.9
609814.9
260925.0
Blue100
747628.0
912722.8
270629.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions599505015080100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+26
Endgame+14
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +19
10Coral scored#10
37Coral points36
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
6Processor points18
12Net points20
18Algae points38
55Total teleop74
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#4
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#21
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points6
80Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2609
#19
25.00.6
24.425.0
Auto5.8
Teleop11.8
End7.4
blue by 4.3
29.30.3
28.829.1
Auto6.9
Teleop21.5
End1.0
Second
1646
#18
15.90.6
15.315.9
Auto3.4
Teleop11.4
End1.1
blue by 12.1
28.00.3
27.427.8
Auto5.1
Teleop20.9
End2.0
Third
6098
#15
14.90.6
14.414.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.9
End1.6
blue by 7.9
9127
#21
22.80.3
22.222.6
Auto3.6
Teleop18.1
End1.0