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Red125
568927.7
270225.0
502429.7
Blue84
808919.1
571922.3
697829.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10487406012014016018012584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+49Teleop
+37Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +32
19Coral scored#14
67Coral points49
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
95Total teleop63
Reef
12L4#6
5L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
0Cage & park12
0Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +41
4Foul points0
125Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5024
#14
29.70.5
29.429.9
Auto10.3
Teleop17.4
End2.0
blue by 0.1
6978
#11
29.80.1
29.829.8
Auto3.3
Teleop24.7
End1.7
Second
5689
#12
27.70.5
27.527.9
Auto5.2
Teleop19.8
End2.7
red by 5.4
5719
#16
22.30.1
22.422.3
Auto6.3
Teleop14.7
End1.4
Third
2702
#27
25.00.5
24.825.3
Auto4.7
Teleop19.8
End0.5
red by 6.0
8089
#10
19.10.1
19.119.1
Auto5.9
Teleop8.9
End4.2