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Red188
490772.0
467896.0
1061118.9
Blue92
373938.3
494038.2
540818.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223975015020025030018892

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+96Teleop
+96Endgame
+96Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points10
33Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +82
28Coral scored#11
99Coral points39
4Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
24Processor points6
16Net points12
40Algae points18
139Total teleop57
Reef
13L4#6
8L3#3
9L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
41Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +96
0Foul points0
188Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.00.0
96.096.0
Auto26.5
Teleop61.1
End8.4
red by 57.7
3739
#10
38.30.1
38.438.3
Auto5.8
Teleop31.2
End1.3
Second
72.00.0
72.072.0
Auto18.0
Teleop44.6
End9.3
red by 33.8
38.20.1
38.238.2
Auto5.7
Teleop24.4
End8.1
Third
18.90.0
18.818.9
Auto3.7
Teleop12.6
End2.5
red by 0.4
5408
#17
18.40.1
18.518.4
Auto3.4
Teleop13.7
End1.2