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Red230
490772.0
467896.0
1061118.9
Blue114
373938.3
494038.2
540818.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2219750150200250300230114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+49Auto
+106Teleop
+116Endgame
+116Fouls
AutonomousRed +49
3Leave6
12Coral scored#1
58Coral points6
61Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +57
29Coral scored#20
105Coral points72
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
18Processor points6
20Net points8
38Algae points14
143Total teleop86
Reef
11L4#6
13L3#8
12L2#3
5L1 · trough#4
49Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +116
0Foul points0
230Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.00.7
95.396.0
Auto26.5
Teleop61.1
End8.4
red by 57.7
3739
#10
38.30.0
38.438.4
Auto5.8
Teleop31.2
End1.3
Second
72.00.7
71.372.0
Auto18.0
Teleop44.6
End9.3
red by 33.8
38.20.0
38.238.2
Auto5.7
Teleop24.4
End8.1
Third
18.90.7
18.218.8
Auto3.7
Teleop12.6
End2.5
red by 0.4
5408
#17
18.40.0
18.518.5
Auto3.4
Teleop13.7
End1.2