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Red129
713617.9
78147.2
591240.2
Blue130
373938.3
494038.2
540818.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126112050150200250300129130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+11Teleop
+1Endgame
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave0
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points19
30Total auto19
Teleoperatedlevel
18Coral scored#16
65Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
12Processor points12
16Net points24
28Algae points36
93Total teleop93
Reef
11L4#7
6L3#6
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points2
129Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#7
47.20.3
46.947.2
Auto11.0
Teleop35.3
End0.9
red by 8.9
3739
#10
38.30.4
38.038.4
Auto5.8
Teleop31.2
End1.3
Second
40.20.3
40.040.2
Auto9.1
Teleop30.2
End0.9
red by 2.1
38.20.4
37.838.2
Auto5.7
Teleop24.4
End8.1
Third
7136
#24
17.90.3
17.617.9
Auto4.8
Teleop11.4
End1.7
blue by 0.5
5408
#17
18.40.4
18.018.5
Auto3.4
Teleop13.7
End1.2