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Red126
588522.9
685417.0
492046.5
Blue134
373938.3
494038.2
540818.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001126080120140160180126134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points10
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +24
16Coral scored#19
58Coral points70
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
6Processor points18
16Net points16
22Algae points34
80Total teleop104
Reef
8L4#9
6L3#5
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#28
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
126Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.50.8
45.746.5
Auto15.2
Teleop28.8
End2.5
red by 8.2
3739
#10
38.30.8
37.138.0
Auto5.8
Teleop31.2
End1.3
Second
5885
#18
22.90.8
22.022.9
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End2.1
blue by 15.3
38.20.8
37.037.8
Auto5.7
Teleop24.4
End8.1
Third
6854
#20
17.00.8
16.217.0
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End1.9
blue by 1.4
5408
#17
18.40.8
17.218.0
Auto3.4
Teleop13.7
End1.2