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Red215
490772.0
467896.0
1061118.9
Blue101
713617.9
78147.2
591240.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2069950150250300215101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+92Teleop
+114Endgame
+114Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave3
10Coral scored#5
48Coral points27
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +71
29Coral scored#12
106Coral points43
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
18Processor points6
16Net points20
34Algae points26
140Total teleop69
Reef
11L4#7
12L3#5
9L2#3
7L1 · trough#2
46Game pieces#23
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +114
0Foul points0
215Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.00.7
94.695.3
Auto26.5
Teleop61.1
End8.4
red by 48.8
781
#7
47.20.1
47.046.9
Auto11.0
Teleop35.3
End0.9
Second
72.00.7
70.671.3
Auto18.0
Teleop44.6
End9.3
red by 31.8
40.20.1
40.140.0
Auto9.1
Teleop30.2
End0.9
Third
18.90.7
17.418.2
Auto3.7
Teleop12.6
End2.5
red by 1.0
7136
#24
17.90.1
17.717.6
Auto4.8
Teleop11.4
End1.7