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Red46
263420.7
559619.0
1057914.0
Blue88
494038.2
878919.0
540818.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696330405080901004688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+10
Endgame+8
Fouls+42
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +10
6Coral scored#7
22Coral points26
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
30Total teleop40
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points34
46Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2634
#23
20.71.3
29.528.2
Auto2.4
Teleop16.7
End1.6
blue by 17.4
38.20.8
32.031.1
Auto5.7
Teleop24.4
End8.1
Second
5596
#11
19.01.3
11.410.1
Auto3.0
Teleop13.8
End2.3
Level
8789
#14
19.00.8
11.210.3
Auto4.2
Teleop13.4
End1.4
Third
14.01.3
14.313.0
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End1.3
blue by 4.4
5408
#17
18.40.8
11.410.6
Auto3.4
Teleop13.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed