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Red75
687515.1
685417.0
375627.3
Blue132
78147.2
591240.2
616212.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55124010015020075132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+59
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +49
10Coral scored#23
36Coral points81
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
60Total teleop109
Reef
5L4#7
2L3#7
3L2#7
1L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
75Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3756
#16
27.30.6
22.622.0
Auto2.7
Teleop20.8
End3.8
blue by 19.9
781
#7
47.20.2
47.147.2
Auto11.0
Teleop35.3
End0.9
Second
6854
#20
17.00.6
14.513.9
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End1.9
blue by 23.2
40.20.2
33.733.9
Auto9.1
Teleop30.2
End0.9
Third
6875
#26
15.10.6
12.812.2
Auto3.1
Teleop10.2
End1.8
red by 3.1
6162
#19
12.10.2
15.615.8
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed