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Red75
588522.9
808132.9
568925.7
Blue97
495124.5
492046.5
713617.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions836940601001201407597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+22
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points19
19Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +19
11Coral scored#17
38Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
52Total teleop71
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#7
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
75Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.6
28.027.4
Auto6.5
Teleop18.7
End7.7
blue by 13.6
46.51.9
31.533.4
Auto15.2
Teleop28.8
End2.5
Second
5689
#15
25.70.6
27.727.1
Auto5.5
Teleop18.4
End1.9
red by 1.2
24.51.7
9.811.6
Auto3.8
Teleop18.5
End2.2
Third
5885
#18
22.90.6
12.812.3
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End2.1
red by 5.0
7136
#24
17.91.7
17.819.5
Auto4.8
Teleop11.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed