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Red69
77219.4
468818.8
1051416.4
Blue150
373938.3
122926.7
467896.0
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3215905010020025069150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+32
Teleop+71
Endgame+81
Fouls+81
AutonomousBlue +32
9Leave6
1Coral scored#8
3Coral points38
12Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +39
10Coral scored#15
35Coral points54
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
6Processor points18
12Net points20
18Algae points38
53Total teleop92
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#6
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
15Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +81
0Foul points0
69Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
#28
19.41.3
18.619.9
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End1.9
blue by 76.6
96.01.0
81.682.5
Auto26.5
Teleop61.1
End8.4
Second
4688
#22
18.81.3
14.515.8
Auto4.3
Teleop13.5
End0.9
blue by 19.6
3739
#10
38.31.0
25.126.1
Auto5.8
Teleop31.2
End1.3
Third
16.41.3
10.912.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End1.0
blue by 10.3
1229
#12
26.71.0
22.523.5
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed56%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned