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Red130
1061118.9
490772.0
461712.7
Blue84
672531.3
494038.2
663226.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions989470809011012013013084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+34Teleop
+34Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
19Coral scored#11
68Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
86Total teleop59
Reef
7L4#5
7L3#5
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
12Foul points0
130Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.01.7
53.054.8
Auto18.0
Teleop44.6
End9.3
red by 33.8
38.20.3
31.130.8
Auto5.7
Teleop24.4
End8.1
Second
18.91.7
16.218.0
Auto3.7
Teleop12.6
End2.5
blue by 12.5
6725
#13
31.30.4
28.828.4
Auto5.1
Teleop24.1
End2.2
Third
4617
#27
12.71.7
14.816.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End1.9
blue by 14.0
26.70.3
20.319.9
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsEarned