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Red108
568925.7
559619.0
492046.5
Blue61
263420.7
685417.0
713617.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90722040608010012014016010861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+41Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave6
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points3
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +17
15Coral scored#9
55Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
69Total teleop52
Reef
8L4#5
5L3#3
3L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#14
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
108Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.51.7
33.435.1
Auto15.2
Teleop28.8
End2.5
red by 25.8
2634
#23
20.70.7
28.227.5
Auto2.4
Teleop16.7
End1.6
Second
5689
#15
25.71.7
27.128.8
Auto5.5
Teleop18.4
End1.9
red by 7.9
7136
#24
17.90.7
19.518.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.4
End1.7
Third
5596
#11
19.01.7
10.111.8
Auto3.0
Teleop13.8
End2.3
red by 1.9
6854
#20
17.00.7
13.913.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed