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Red59
78147.2
1057914.0
808132.9
Blue73
588522.9
591240.2
468818.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10368501505973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+12
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +23
3Leave6
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
3Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +11
9Coral scored#8
32Coral points27
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
52Total teleop41
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#4
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
59Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#7
47.22.1
47.245.1
Auto11.0
Teleop35.3
End0.9
red by 7.0
40.20.5
33.934.4
Auto9.1
Teleop30.2
End0.9
Second
32.92.1
27.425.3
Auto6.5
Teleop18.7
End7.7
red by 10.1
5885
#18
22.90.5
12.312.8
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End2.1
Third
14.02.1
13.010.9
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End1.3
blue by 4.8
4688
#22
18.80.5
15.816.4
Auto4.3
Teleop13.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed