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Red232
467896.0
77219.4
490772.0
Blue79
663226.7
375627.3
373938.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1896605010015025030023279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+131Teleop
+153Endgame
+153Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
9Leave0
8Coral scored#2
42Coral points9
51Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +89
34Coral scored#13
121Coral points48
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
18Processor points6
16Net points12
34Algae points18
155Total teleop66
Reef
14L4#7
10L3#3
9L2#3
9L1 · trough#2
49Game pieces#19
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +153
0Foul points0
232Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.04.5
82.587.0
Auto26.5
Teleop61.1
End8.4
red by 57.7
3739
#10
38.30.1
26.126.2
Auto5.8
Teleop31.2
End1.3
Second
72.04.5
54.859.2
Auto18.0
Teleop44.6
End9.3
red by 44.7
3756
#16
27.30.1
22.022.1
Auto2.7
Teleop20.8
End3.8
Third
772
#28
19.44.5
19.924.4
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End1.9
blue by 7.3
26.70.1
19.920.1
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned9%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
52%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed