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Red75
616212.1
122926.7
495124.5
Blue87
540818.4
672531.3
687515.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65633040507080901007587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+26
Endgame+24
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +30
10Coral scored#16
36Coral points56
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
44Total teleop74
Reef
3L4#7
4L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
12Foul points0
75Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1229
#12
26.70.0
23.523.5
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End1.8
blue by 4.6
6725
#13
31.31.8
28.430.2
Auto5.1
Teleop24.1
End2.2
Second
24.50.0
11.611.6
Auto3.8
Teleop18.5
End2.2
red by 6.1
5408
#17
18.41.8
10.612.4
Auto3.4
Teleop13.7
End1.2
Third
6162
#19
12.10.0
15.815.8
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End0.7
blue by 3.1
6875
#26
15.11.8
12.214.0
Auto3.1
Teleop10.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed