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Red92
878919.0
1051416.4
492046.5
Blue66
461712.7
808132.9
1061118.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6463304050607080901009266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+36Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave3
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points13
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +19
13Coral scored#8
45Coral points28
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
55Total teleop36
Reef
8L4#3
4L3#5
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
92Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.52.1
35.137.2
Auto15.2
Teleop28.8
End2.5
red by 13.6
32.90.2
25.325.5
Auto6.5
Teleop18.7
End7.7
Second
8789
#14
19.02.1
10.312.4
Auto4.2
Teleop13.4
End1.4
red by 0.2
18.90.2
18.018.2
Auto3.7
Teleop12.6
End2.5
Third
16.42.1
12.214.3
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End1.0
red by 3.7
4617
#27
12.70.2
16.616.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned