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Red21
672531.3
263420.7
540818.4
Blue115
492046.5
808132.9
685417.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8283406010021115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+72
Endgame+84
Fouls+94
AutonomousBlue +31
0Leave0
1Coral scored#7
6Coral points37
6Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +41
3Coral scored#8
9Coral points30
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
0Processor points12
0Net points8
0Algae points20
9Total teleop50
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
4Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +94
2Foul points12
21Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6725
#13
31.33.6
32.228.5
Auto5.1
Teleop24.1
End2.2
blue by 15.2
46.51.8
37.239.1
Auto15.2
Teleop28.8
End2.5
Second
2634
#23
20.73.6
25.521.9
Auto2.4
Teleop16.7
End1.6
blue by 12.2
32.91.8
25.527.4
Auto6.5
Teleop18.7
End7.7
Third
5408
#17
18.43.6
15.812.2
Auto3.4
Teleop13.7
End1.2
red by 1.4
6854
#20
17.01.8
12.714.5
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsEarned