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Red112
375627.3
78147.2
588522.9
Blue231
490772.0
559619.0
467896.0
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8618950100150250300112231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+111
Endgame+123
Fouls+119
AutonomousBlue +31
9Leave6
1Coral scored#8
4Coral points38
13Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +80
14Coral scored#32
51Coral points115
4Processor algae#4
4Net algae#8
24Processor points24
16Net points32
40Algae points56
91Total teleop171
Reef
4L4#17
6L3#12
4L2#6
1L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#52
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +119
4Foul points0
112Total score231

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#7
47.20.8
44.845.6
Auto11.0
Teleop35.3
End0.9
blue by 48.8
96.03.9
86.590.5
Auto26.5
Teleop61.1
End8.4
Second
3756
#16
27.30.8
24.225.0
Auto2.7
Teleop20.8
End3.8
blue by 44.7
72.03.9
61.365.2
Auto18.0
Teleop44.6
End9.3
Third
5885
#18
22.90.8
14.515.4
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End2.1
red by 3.9
5596
#11
19.03.9
10.314.3
Auto3.0
Teleop13.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed64%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned