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Red101
373938.3
492046.5
672531.3
Blue49
687515.1
588522.9
461712.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1204005010015020010149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+54Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points14
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +64
16Coral scored#5
58Coral points18
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
12Processor points0
16Net points4
28Algae points4
86Total teleop22
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points0
101Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.50.2
39.138.9
Auto15.2
Teleop28.8
End2.5
red by 23.7
5885
#18
22.90.0
15.415.4
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End2.1
Second
3739
#10
38.30.2
31.030.8
Auto5.8
Teleop31.2
End1.3
red by 23.2
6875
#26
15.10.0
13.513.5
Auto3.1
Teleop10.2
End1.8
Third
6725
#13
31.30.2
28.528.3
Auto5.1
Teleop24.1
End2.2
red by 18.6
4617
#27
12.70.0
13.913.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed