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Red124
591240.2
494038.2
263420.7
Blue113
1051416.4
663226.7
808132.9
93%Model gave it7%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1136820406080100140160180124113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+29Teleop
+7Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +25
19Coral scored#15
68Coral points55
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
100Total teleop75
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#5
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
4Foul points0
124Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.20.7
38.238.9
Auto9.1
Teleop30.2
End0.9
red by 7.3
32.92.4
27.429.8
Auto6.5
Teleop18.7
End7.7
Second
38.20.7
31.432.1
Auto5.7
Teleop24.4
End8.1
red by 11.4
26.72.4
20.923.3
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End5.9
Third
2634
#23
20.70.7
21.922.6
Auto2.4
Teleop16.7
End1.6
red by 4.3
16.42.4
13.215.6
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsEarned