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Red44
685417.0
713617.9
1057914.0
Blue115
878919.0
616212.1
490772.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45121010015020044115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+71
Endgame+69
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points20
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +57
4Coral scored#14
16Coral points51
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
6Processor points12
4Net points20
10Algae points32
26Total teleop83
Reef
1L4#6
2L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
7Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +71
0Foul points2
44Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7136
#24
17.90.7
19.819.1
Auto4.8
Teleop11.4
End1.7
blue by 54.1
72.00.4
65.265.6
Auto18.0
Teleop44.6
End9.3
Second
6854
#20
17.00.7
14.513.8
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End1.9
blue by 2.0
8789
#14
19.00.4
12.312.8
Auto4.2
Teleop13.4
End1.4
Third
14.00.7
9.48.8
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End1.3
red by 2.0
6162
#19
12.10.4
17.117.5
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed