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Red31
1061118.9
468818.8
540818.4
Blue98
122926.7
78147.2
559619.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5010501503198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+69
Endgame+65
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +16
6Leave3
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points19
6Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +53
5Coral scored#14
17Coral points52
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
21Total teleop74
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
6Game pieces#23
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
0Foul points2
31Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.91.1
19.918.8
Auto3.7
Teleop12.6
End2.5
blue by 28.4
781
#7
47.20.7
45.646.4
Auto11.0
Teleop35.3
End0.9
Second
4688
#22
18.81.1
15.614.5
Auto4.3
Teleop13.5
End0.9
blue by 7.9
1229
#12
26.70.7
25.526.2
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End1.8
Third
5408
#17
18.41.1
12.211.1
Auto3.4
Teleop13.7
End1.2
blue by 0.6
5596
#11
19.00.7
14.315.0
Auto3.0
Teleop13.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed