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Red173
591240.2
467896.0
495124.5
Blue71
1051416.4
375627.3
77219.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17659010015020025030017371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+92Teleop
+102Endgame
+102Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
0Leave6
9Coral scored#1
44Coral points3
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +57
23Coral scored#13
81Coral points48
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
18Processor points6
16Net points4
34Algae points10
115Total teleop58
Reef
12L4#4
8L3#4
7L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +102
0Foul points0
173Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.01.7
90.592.2
Auto26.5
Teleop61.1
End8.4
red by 68.7
3756
#16
27.30.3
25.025.3
Auto2.7
Teleop20.8
End3.8
Second
40.21.7
36.438.2
Auto9.1
Teleop30.2
End0.9
red by 20.9
772
#28
19.40.3
22.422.7
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End1.9
Third
24.51.7
15.016.7
Auto3.8
Teleop18.5
End2.2
red by 8.1
16.40.3
12.913.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
62%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed