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Red63
494038.2
461712.7
1057914.0
Blue100
663226.7
713617.9
373938.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7178406010012063100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+45
Endgame+45
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +38
8Coral scored#13
28Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
42Total teleop80
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
8Foul points0
63Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.21.5
32.831.4
Auto5.7
Teleop24.4
End8.1
blue by 0.2
3739
#10
38.31.4
29.731.0
Auto5.8
Teleop31.2
End1.3
Second
14.01.5
10.99.4
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End1.3
blue by 12.7
26.71.4
19.620.9
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End5.9
Third
4617
#27
12.71.5
15.413.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End1.9
blue by 5.2
7136
#24
17.91.4
18.519.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed13%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed