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Red110
492046.5
1057914.0
663226.7
Blue77
687515.1
78147.2
1051416.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions808460709010011011077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+11Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +6
11Coral scored#10
40Coral points36
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
12Processor points18
8Net points12
20Algae points30
60Total teleop66
Reef
3L4#5
6L3#4
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#17
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
110Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.52.6
38.941.5
Auto15.2
Teleop28.8
End2.5
blue by 0.7
781
#7
47.20.1
46.446.5
Auto11.0
Teleop35.3
End0.9
Second
26.72.6
23.325.9
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End5.9
red by 10.3
16.40.1
15.615.7
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End1.0
Third
14.02.6
8.811.4
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End1.3
blue by 1.1
6875
#26
15.10.1
13.513.6
Auto3.1
Teleop10.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed