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Red107
568925.7
373938.3
591240.2
Blue56
1061118.9
672531.3
461712.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120725010015010756

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+55Teleop
+53Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +41
17Coral scored#8
62Coral points27
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
82Total teleop41
Reef
9L4#5
4L3#2
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points2
107Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.20.3
38.939.2
Auto9.1
Teleop30.2
End0.9
red by 8.9
6725
#13
31.30.8
28.327.5
Auto5.1
Teleop24.1
End2.2
Second
3739
#10
38.30.3
30.831.2
Auto5.8
Teleop31.2
End1.3
red by 19.5
18.90.8
18.818.0
Auto3.7
Teleop12.6
End2.5
Third
5689
#15
25.70.3
26.126.5
Auto5.5
Teleop18.4
End1.9
red by 13.0
4617
#27
12.70.8
13.913.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed