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Red133
616212.1
588522.9
494038.2
Blue62
122926.7
685417.0
263420.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions848260709010011012013013362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+47Teleop
+59Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +37
16Coral scored#11
57Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
6Processor points6
28Net points8
34Algae points14
91Total teleop54
Reef
10L4#4
4L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#14
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
12Foul points0
133Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.22.7
30.933.7
Auto5.7
Teleop24.4
End8.1
red by 11.4
1229
#12
26.71.0
26.125.0
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End1.8
Second
5885
#18
22.92.7
16.519.2
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End2.1
red by 2.1
2634
#23
20.71.0
19.818.7
Auto2.4
Teleop16.7
End1.6
Third
6162
#19
12.12.7
14.717.4
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End0.7
blue by 5.0
6854
#20
17.01.0
16.715.7
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed