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Red65
77219.4
1061118.9
663226.7
Blue78
568925.7
672531.3
685417.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78830501001502006578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+17
Endgame+11
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +10
9Coral scored#11
34Coral points40
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
12Processor points12
4Net points8
16Algae points20
50Total teleop60
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#17
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points2
65Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.9
25.925.0
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End5.9
blue by 4.6
6725
#13
31.30.6
27.527.0
Auto5.1
Teleop24.1
End2.2
Second
772
#28
19.40.9
21.620.7
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End1.9
blue by 6.4
5689
#15
25.70.6
26.525.9
Auto5.5
Teleop18.4
End1.9
Third
18.90.9
18.017.1
Auto3.7
Teleop12.6
End2.5
red by 1.8
6854
#20
17.00.6
15.715.1
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed