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Red85
588522.9
1051416.4
494038.2
Blue174
490772.0
468818.8
492046.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions741585010020025085174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+42
Teleop+77
Endgame+67
Fouls+89
AutonomousBlue +42
3Leave0
1Coral scored#10
6Coral points51
9Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +35
14Coral scored#19
52Coral points67
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#3
6Processor points18
4Net points12
10Algae points30
62Total teleop97
Reef
7L4#12
3L3#6
2L2#8
3L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#35
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +89
0Foul points22
85Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.20.1
33.733.7
Auto5.7
Teleop24.4
End8.1
blue by 33.8
72.00.7
69.069.7
Auto18.0
Teleop44.6
End9.3
Second
5885
#18
22.90.1
19.219.3
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End2.1
blue by 23.7
46.50.7
42.943.7
Auto15.2
Teleop28.8
End2.5
Third
16.40.1
16.216.3
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End1.0
blue by 2.4
4688
#22
18.80.7
16.317.0
Auto4.3
Teleop13.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsMissed