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Red64
808132.9
559619.0
713617.9
Blue141
467896.0
687515.1
878919.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions641485010020025064141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+81
Endgame+83
Fouls+77
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave6
2Coral scored#6
9Coral points31
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +53
4Coral scored#18
15Coral points66
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
6Processor points12
8Net points4
14Algae points16
29Total teleop82
Reef
2L4#10
2L3#5
1L2#6
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +77
12Foul points6
64Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.91.1
32.331.2
Auto6.5
Teleop18.7
End7.7
blue by 63.1
96.00.7
92.092.8
Auto26.5
Teleop61.1
End8.4
Second
5596
#11
19.01.1
16.315.2
Auto3.0
Teleop13.8
End2.3
Level
8789
#14
19.00.7
16.417.2
Auto4.2
Teleop13.4
End1.4
Third
7136
#24
17.91.1
19.518.4
Auto4.8
Teleop11.4
End1.7
red by 2.7
6875
#26
15.10.7
15.416.1
Auto3.1
Teleop10.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed62%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsEarned