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Red102
77219.4
540818.4
122926.7
Blue139
78147.2
1061118.9
568925.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68110020406080100120140160102139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+35
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +21
15Coral scored#24
55Coral points86
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
89Total teleop110
Reef
6L4#9
4L3#10
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
22Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
102Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1229
#12
26.71.2
25.026.2
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End1.8
blue by 20.5
781
#7
47.21.4
47.949.4
Auto11.0
Teleop35.3
End0.9
Second
772
#28
19.41.2
20.721.9
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End1.9
blue by 6.4
5689
#15
25.71.4
25.927.3
Auto5.5
Teleop18.4
End1.9
Third
5408
#17
18.41.2
14.115.3
Auto3.4
Teleop13.7
End1.2
blue by 0.4
18.91.4
17.118.5
Auto3.7
Teleop12.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed