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Red73
663226.7
495124.5
461712.7
Blue34
375627.3
616212.1
1057914.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions777740506070901001101207334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+15Teleop
+25Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +18
6Coral scored#3
20Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
34Total teleop16
Reef
2L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#6
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
14Foul points0
73Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.5
25.024.5
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End5.9
blue by 0.6
3756
#16
27.32.1
27.325.2
Auto2.7
Teleop20.8
End3.8
Second
24.50.5
18.117.6
Auto3.8
Teleop18.5
End2.2
red by 10.5
14.02.1
13.111.0
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End1.3
Third
4617
#27
12.70.5
14.614.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End1.9
red by 0.6
6162
#19
12.12.1
17.415.3
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed