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Red94
373938.3
878919.0
263420.7
Blue114
591240.2
672531.3
1051416.4
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72942040608012014094114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+16
Endgame+14
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points19
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +13
13Coral scored#13
48Coral points45
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
6Processor points18
20Net points24
26Algae points42
74Total teleop87
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points6
94Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3739
#10
38.31.5
32.934.4
Auto5.8
Teleop31.2
End1.3
blue by 1.9
40.21.5
39.440.9
Auto9.1
Teleop30.2
End0.9
Second
2634
#23
20.71.5
18.720.2
Auto2.4
Teleop16.7
End1.6
blue by 10.6
6725
#13
31.31.5
27.028.5
Auto5.1
Teleop24.1
End2.2
Third
8789
#14
19.01.5
17.218.6
Auto4.2
Teleop13.4
End1.4
red by 2.6
16.41.5
16.317.8
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed