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Red148
588522.9
492046.5
467896.0
Blue74
494038.2
687515.1
1061118.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193705010015025030014874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+49Auto
+90Teleop
+74Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +49
6Leave0
10Coral scored#2
52Coral points9
58Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +41
14Coral scored#11
52Coral points39
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
18Processor points6
20Net points4
38Algae points10
90Total teleop49
Reef
9L4#4
7L3#3
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
0Foul points0
148Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.01.6
92.891.2
Auto26.5
Teleop61.1
End8.4
red by 57.8
38.20.8
33.732.9
Auto5.7
Teleop24.4
End8.1
Second
46.51.6
43.742.1
Auto15.2
Teleop28.8
End2.5
red by 27.7
18.90.8
18.517.7
Auto3.7
Teleop12.6
End2.5
Third
5885
#18
22.91.6
19.317.7
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End2.1
red by 7.7
6875
#26
15.10.8
16.115.3
Auto3.1
Teleop10.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
69%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned