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Red78
375627.3
468818.8
122926.7
Blue89
568925.7
540818.4
663226.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95894060801201407889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+7
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +7
11Coral scored#13
39Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
57Total teleop64
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#5
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
78Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3756
#16
27.30.6
25.224.6
Auto2.7
Teleop20.8
End3.8
red by 0.6
26.70.1
24.524.6
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End5.9
Second
1229
#12
26.70.6
26.225.7
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End1.8
red by 1.0
5689
#15
25.70.1
27.327.4
Auto5.5
Teleop18.4
End1.9
Third
4688
#22
18.80.6
17.016.4
Auto4.3
Teleop13.5
End0.9
red by 0.4
5408
#17
18.40.1
15.315.4
Auto3.4
Teleop13.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsEarned