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Red160
540818.4
467896.0
78147.2
Blue102
591240.2
77219.4
808132.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1769550150200250160102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+66Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
6Leave0
8Coral scored#4
38Coral points19
44Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +41
26Coral scored#14
92Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
110Total teleop69
Reef
9L4#6
12L3#7
10L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
160Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.00.4
91.290.8
Auto26.5
Teleop61.1
End8.4
red by 55.8
40.20.1
40.340.2
Auto9.1
Teleop30.2
End0.9
Second
781
#7
47.20.4
48.848.3
Auto11.0
Teleop35.3
End0.9
red by 14.3
32.90.1
32.332.2
Auto6.5
Teleop18.7
End7.7
Third
5408
#17
18.40.4
15.415.0
Auto3.4
Teleop13.7
End1.2
blue by 1.0
772
#28
19.40.1
20.120.0
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsEarned