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Red150
122926.7
568925.7
490772.0
Blue150
616212.1
492046.5
373938.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1521076080120140160180200150150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
0Teleop0
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave3
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points23
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +4
22Coral scored#16
78Coral points58
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#7
12Processor points24
16Net points28
28Algae points52
106Total teleop110
Reef
7L4#7
10L3#4
7L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
150Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.0
Auto18.0
Teleop44.6
End9.3
red by 25.5
46.5
Auto15.2
Teleop28.8
End2.5
Second
1229
#12
26.7
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End1.8
blue by 11.6
3739
#10
38.3
Auto5.8
Teleop31.2
End1.3
Third
5689
#15
25.7
Auto5.5
Teleop18.4
End1.9
red by 13.7
6162
#19
12.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsEarned