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Red43
461712.7
687515.1
263420.7
Blue96
495124.5
1057914.0
672531.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52652040801001204396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+49
Endgame+53
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +43
6Coral scored#15
22Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
32Total teleop75
Reef
3L4#7
1L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points0
43Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2634
#23
20.70.4
21.621.1
Auto2.4
Teleop16.7
End1.6
blue by 10.6
6725
#13
31.32.7
26.729.4
Auto5.1
Teleop24.1
End2.2
Second
6875
#26
15.10.4
15.314.9
Auto3.1
Teleop10.2
End1.8
blue by 9.4
24.52.7
18.721.4
Auto3.8
Teleop18.5
End2.2
Third
4617
#27
12.70.4
12.512.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End1.9
blue by 1.3
10579
#25DQ
14.02.7
10.413.0
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed