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Red68
375627.3
1061118.9
591240.2
Blue67
713617.9
588522.9
540818.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1086002040801001201401606867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+1
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +10
8Coral scored#8
30Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
52Total teleop42
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#3
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
68Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.20.9
40.239.3
Auto9.1
Teleop30.2
End0.9
red by 17.4
5885
#18
22.91.1
19.120.2
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End2.1
Second
3756
#16
27.30.9
24.623.7
Auto2.7
Teleop20.8
End3.8
red by 8.9
5408
#17
18.41.1
15.016.1
Auto3.4
Teleop13.7
End1.2
Third
18.90.9
16.715.8
Auto3.7
Teleop12.6
End2.5
red by 1.0
7136
#24
17.91.1
16.817.9
Auto4.8
Teleop11.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed