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Red47
685417.0
461712.7
616212.1
Blue67
559619.0
687515.1
77219.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49650204060801004767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+14
Endgame+14
Fouls+20
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +14
7Coral scored#11
26Coral points38
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
34Total teleop48
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points6
47Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6854
#20
17.00.7
15.014.3
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End1.9
blue by 2.3
772
#28
19.40.5
20.019.5
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End1.9
Second
4617
#27
12.70.7
12.111.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End1.9
blue by 6.3
5596
#11
19.00.5
16.716.2
Auto3.0
Teleop13.8
End2.3
Third
6162
#19
12.10.7
13.512.8
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End0.7
blue by 3.1
6875
#26
15.10.5
14.914.4
Auto3.1
Teleop10.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed