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Red134
713617.9
490772.0
672531.3
Blue133
1057914.0
467896.0
468818.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12513650100150200134133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+5
Endgame+7
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
6Coral scored#7
30Coral points33
30Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +2
13Coral scored#18
46Coral points66
4Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
24Processor points6
12Net points12
36Algae points18
82Total teleop84
Reef
9L4#10
4L3#6
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
8Foul points0
134Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.00.5
70.871.3
Auto18.0
Teleop44.6
End9.3
blue by 24.0
96.00.8
90.891.6
Auto26.5
Teleop61.1
End8.4
Second
6725
#13
31.30.5
29.429.9
Auto5.1
Teleop24.1
End2.2
red by 12.5
4688
#22
18.80.8
17.017.8
Auto4.3
Teleop13.5
End0.9
Third
7136
#24
17.90.5
17.918.4
Auto4.8
Teleop11.4
End1.7
red by 3.8
14.00.8
13.013.9
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed42%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned