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Red108
490772.0
263420.7
78147.2
Blue66
495124.5
663226.7
1061118.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165615010015020010866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+34Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points7
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +20
13Coral scored#8
46Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
64Total teleop44
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#12
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
108Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.02.4
71.368.9
Auto18.0
Teleop44.6
End9.3
red by 45.3
26.70.0
27.127.1
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End5.9
Second
781
#7
47.22.4
49.447.0
Auto11.0
Teleop35.3
End0.9
red by 22.7
24.50.0
23.523.5
Auto3.8
Teleop18.5
End2.2
Third
2634
#23
20.72.4
23.320.9
Auto2.4
Teleop16.7
End1.6
red by 1.9
18.90.0
15.815.8
Auto3.7
Teleop12.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsMissed