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Red214
490772.0
467896.0
1061118.9
Blue69
122926.7
77219.4
263420.7
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20556010015025030021469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+125Teleop
+145Endgame
+145Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
9Leave3
10Coral scored#3
52Coral points16
61Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +83
28Coral scored#8
101Coral points28
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
129Total teleop46
Reef
15L4#5
11L3#3
9L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
44Game pieces#15
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +145
0Foul points0
214Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.00.8
92.993.8
Auto26.5
Teleop61.1
End8.4
red by 69.3
1229
#12
26.70.0
26.826.9
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End1.8
Second
72.00.8
68.969.7
Auto18.0
Teleop44.6
End9.3
red by 51.3
2634
#23
20.70.0
20.920.9
Auto2.4
Teleop16.7
End1.6
Third
18.90.8
15.816.6
Auto3.7
Teleop12.6
End2.5
blue by 0.5
772
#28
19.40.0
19.519.5
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End1.9