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Red102
808132.9
672531.3
375627.3
Blue112
373938.3
494038.2
540818.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12111150100150200102112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+16
Endgame+4
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +13
17Coral scored#16
61Coral points56
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#3
6Processor points24
12Net points12
18Algae points36
79Total teleop92
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points6
102Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.0
33.333.2
Auto6.5
Teleop18.7
End7.7
blue by 5.4
3739
#10
38.30.1
35.936.0
Auto5.8
Teleop31.2
End1.3
Second
6725
#13
31.30.0
31.631.6
Auto5.1
Teleop24.1
End2.2
blue by 6.8
38.20.1
35.735.8
Auto5.7
Teleop24.4
End8.1
Third
3756
#16
27.30.0
27.627.6
Auto2.7
Teleop20.8
End3.8
red by 8.9
5408
#17
18.40.1
15.916.1
Auto3.4
Teleop13.7
End1.2