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Red129
492046.5
685417.0
588522.9
Blue77
468818.8
568925.7
663226.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions978905015020012977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+50Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
26Coral points12
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +36
21Coral scored#11
75Coral points39
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
99Total teleop63
Reef
11L4#4
8L3#4
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points0
129Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.51.0
43.844.8
Auto15.2
Teleop28.8
End2.5
red by 19.8
26.70.1
27.127.0
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End5.9
Second
5885
#18
22.91.0
20.221.1
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End2.1
blue by 2.9
5689
#15
25.70.1
26.126.0
Auto5.5
Teleop18.4
End1.9
Third
6854
#20
17.01.0
14.315.3
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End1.9
blue by 1.7
4688
#22
18.80.1
19.119.1
Auto4.3
Teleop13.5
End0.9