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Red89
597515.6
28986.8
237431.6
Blue49
703446.6
1540C17.8
252126.5
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301580501002002503003504008949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+30Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
0Leave0
0Coral scored#0
2Coral points0
2Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +28
15Coral scored#8
55Coral points29
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
77Total teleop49
Reef
7L4#2
3L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
10Cage & park0
10Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
89Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.63.1
33.136.2
Auto1.2
Teleop29.3
End1.1
blue by 14.9
46.65.2
67.262.0
Auto10.6
Teleop33.3
End2.7
Second
5975
#11
15.63.1
1.74.8
Auto0.3
Teleop12.7
End2.6
blue by 10.9
26.55.2
45.740.4
Auto3.4
Teleop19.8
End3.2
Third
2898
#12
6.83.1
7.310.4
Auto0.9
Teleop2.7
End3.2
blue by 11.0
17.88.7
14.65.9
Auto-1.0
Teleop16.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
8%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed